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Chart of the Week - July 2, 2007

Vista Land & Lifescapes

VLL Monthly Chart - Continuing to Trend Higher

charts are courtesy of Metastock

 

VLL Daily Chart - Extremely Overbought Condition

charts are courtesy of Metastock

 

Legend: blue lines - range for Tsupiteros

            dotted blue lines - range for Position Traders

            red lines - important trend lines

 

Short-term Traders/Tsupiteros: Medium-term/Position Traders:
Support - below 6.90 (Stop for long positions) Support - 5.40
Resistance - 8.00 Resistance - 10.00
Trend - Up Trend - Up

One of only a handful of surviving third-line issues last week was Vista Land & Lifescapes (VLL) - formerly C&P Homes, Inc. Last Monday, the stock resumed trading as it got suspended for two weeks in order for investors to fully understand the ongoing delisting of CMP and listing of VLL in the big board. Each share of CMP was exchanged for one share of VLL at 2.46 per share last June 22. The stock immediately opened limit up last Monday at 3.65. It again opened limit up last Tuesday at 5.40 and only began real trading last Wednesday between 5.50 and 6.00. As of last Friday, the stock was already trading at 7.20, which is a new 10-year high, if you compare it with the historical price of CMP. It is rumored that the company will be planning a secondary offering this July. What does technical analysis have to say with the current movement of the stock?

There is certainly nothing surprising about the current movement of VLL as it was clearly seen in the technicals of the chart a couple of months back. In the monthly chart, the stock is merely following its trend and is continuing to trend up. Obviously, the stock is no longer at the bottom of its range in the monthly chart. However, it may not yet be at its peak. If the stock continues to follow its trend, I wouldn't be surprised if prices continue to climb and head towards the double digit levels. The next heavy resistance levels are the 10.00 level and the 16.00 levels. On the monthly chart, I will continue to be bullish in VLL as long as it holds above 4.00.

On the daily chart, the stock indicates that it is trading within a very, very strong uptrend as it continued to form white candles and has been gapping up for the last couple of days now. However, the stock is now trading in an extremely overbought position. While Tsupiteros would certainly want to buy this stock on the next dip, I certainly will no longer buy it at these levels. The psychological resistance lines such 7.50, 8.00 and 8.50 may be sources of resistances in the short-term. If I were holding this stock right now, I would take profits on strength right now and just try to buy it back lower when it corrects. For Tsupiteros, who prefer to use trend-following strategies, I would suggest to just continue holding on your position and use a break below 6.90 as your mental stop. If prices continue to move up today, raise stops to a break below last Friday's close of 7.20.

Good luck Tsupiteros and I hope that the good Senator will be able to get what he wants so that all of us will be happy. :-)

 

 

Notes:

Short-term Traders/Tsupiteros vs. Medium-term/Position Traders: Recommendation for short-term traders or Tsupiteros are meant to be used by traders whose holding period are limited to one day to two weeks. Medium-term or position traders are meant to be used by traders whose holding period are two weeks to three months. Long-term investors whose holding period is more than three months should not follow these recommendations.

 

 

 © 2006. Miko S. Sayo. All Rights Reserved.