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Chart of the Week - Jun 7, 2010
JG Summit Holdings,
Inc. (JGS)
JGS Monthly Chart -
Trading Right at its All-Time Highs

charts are courtesy of Metastock
JGS
Weekly Chart - Approaching Resistancesm

charts are courtesy of Metastock
JGS Daily Chart -
Encountering Resistance at 16.00

charts are courtesy of Metastock
Legend:
blue lines - range for Tsupiteros
dotted blue lines
- range for Position Traders
red lines - important trend lines
| Short-term Traders/Tsupiteros: |
Medium-term/Position Traders: |
| Support - 13.25
/ 15.00 |
Support -
8.90 |
| Resistance -
16.00 |
Resistance - 16.00 to 18.00 |
| Trend - Up |
Trend - Up |
| Recommendation -
Take profits |
Recommendation -
Hold / Take profits on strength |
I don't know
what's up with Gokongwei stocks but they certainly are outperforming
everything in the market nowadays. The strongest one of the bunch is no
other than the holding company itself - JG Summit Holdings, Inc.
Unfortunately, the stock looks overbought from any angle that I look at.
The charts above may even look self-explanatory.
The monthly
chart is showing a stock that is not only way overbought but is also
right at its all-time high of 16.00. While I'm not discounting the
possibility that the stock may even exceed its all-time high of 16.00
within the month, I'm quite certain that the stock may react downwards
from here as profit-taking may soon set in. The steepness of its ascent
is certainly something to be worried about right now. Short-term term
support for this time-frame is pegged at the 8.90 level. I would be very
worried for the bulls if prices drop below that level.
The weekly
chart is showing a very strong trend for JGS. However, as you can see in
the chart above, the stock is now nearing its medium-term resistance at
18.00. While I would not discount the possibility that the stock
continues to climb up from here and even test its medium-term resistance
at 18.00, I would expect some sort of consolidation or correction at
that level, if not at current levels. Short-term support for this
time-frame is pegged at the 13.25 level. I would be quite worried for
the bulls if prices fail to hold above that level.
Finally, the
daily chart of the stock is showing an almost exact same picture as its
weekly chart. The only difference is, the stock has already began to
show some signs of weakness in the daily chart. If you'll notice, the
stock has actually formed a black candle right around its resistance at
16.00. The fact that this pattern occurred right after a very big ascent
may indicate that the bulls are getting tired in this time-frame. From
the way I see it, the stock may actually begin to consolidate or correct
right now.
How do we
trade this stock? With regards to Position-traders, I would certainly no
longer recommend buying this stock anymore at current levels. However,
for Position-traders, who are holding it, you may opt to just hold and
use mental stops down below. I would suggest to use a break below the
13.25 level as your mental stop. For those who would like to pick the
highs, you may want to take profits as close to 18.00 as possible. As
for Tsupiteros, I would suggest to start taking profits right now. I
would only consider buying this again if prices drop back down near
13.25.
Be careful
on this stock Tsupiteros as this is certainly one stock that is probably
in a "bubble" already.
Notes:
Short-term
Traders/Tsupiteros vs. Medium-term/Position Traders: Recommendation
for short-term traders or Tsupiteros are meant to be used by traders
whose holding period are limited to one day to two weeks. Medium-term or position
traders are meant to be used by traders whose holding period are two weeks
to three months. Long-term investors whose holding period is more than
three months should not follow these recommendations.
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