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Chart of the Week - May 3, 2010
Int'l Container Terminal Services,
Inc. (ICT)
ICT Monthly Chart -
Climbing Back Up but Approaching Resistances Near the
35.00 Level

charts are courtesy of Metastock
ICT
Weekly Chart - Formed a Peak at 31.00?m

charts are courtesy of Metastock
ICT Daily Chart -
Formed a Bull-Trap, Approaching Support Levels

charts are courtesy of Metastock
Legend:
blue lines - range for Tsupiteros
dotted blue lines
- range for Position Traders
red lines - important trend lines
| Short-term Traders/Tsupiteros: |
Medium-term/Position Traders: |
| Support -
27.00 / 28.50 |
Support -
24.25 |
| Resistance -
31.00 |
Resistance - 31.00 / 35.00 |
| Trend - Up |
Trend - Up |
| Recommendation -
Take profits but Trade the range |
Recommendation -
Hold / Take profits |
Int'l
Container Terminal Services, Inc. (ICT) has been in the spotlight in the
last couple of weeks as prices have catapulted from the early 20s levels
to 31.00 last Thursday in just one month's time. Let's see how its
technicals look like.
You can see
in its monthly chart above that the stock still has a way to go to its
2007 high at exactly 49.00. However, slowly, the stock has been climbing
back up and is now at the mid-point of its 10.00 to 49.00 range. The
chart also shows that there was a previous high at exactly the 34.50
level. This occurred in May 2008. Since that time, the stock has never
climbed back up towards that level. You can also see that, at around
that time, the stock sort of consolidated between 30.50 and 34.50. So,
while prices did close the month near its highs and with a long white
candle, it is now approaching some resistances at the early 30s levels.
What I'm a
bit concerned right now for the bulls is the picture of its weekly
chart. The weekly chart appears to be indicating that the stock may have
encountered a brick wall at the 31.00 level. The 30.00 to 31.00 levels
indicates that the stock's resistances in this time frame. Notice that
everytime the stock tests its resistances (blue solid upper trendline),
the stock tends to correct back down before eventually forming a higher
high. Could it be the same this time around? With the stock's volume and
volatility both increasing in the last couple of weeks, I would have to
conclude that prices may probably correct or consolidate first for now.
The daily
chart is showing people that prices are very much in an uptrend right
now. For those who simply follow the trend, one may probably not notice
a slight weakness in its behavior last week - the stock formed a
bull-trap. What do I mean by that? On a normally bullish uptrend, when a
stock breaks out of a consolidation, it should no longer drop back down
below it. If it does, it is called a bull-trap and is usually the very
first sign of weakness in an uptrend. This behavior occurred when ICT
broke above its resistance at 29.00 and climbed up to as high as 31.00
but still eventually dropped back down below 29.00. This behavior may
indicate an inability of the stock to trend up further. Thus, I would
tend to think that prices may probably consolidate between 27.00 and
31.00 first for now.
So, how do
we trade this stock? For Position-traders, you may either start taking
profits on strength, or, just hold and use a break below the 27.00
level. A break below the 27.00 level may indicate that the stock will
test its major support at 24.25. As for Tsupiteros, I sure hope you were
able to take profits from this stock either last Thursday or early last
Friday. If you are still holding your positions right now, you may have
a bit of a dilemma right now because prices are already approaching
strong support at the 27.00 to 28.50 levels. For those who would like to
buy this stock, you may want to buy it as close to 27.00 as possible but
just look to sell as close to 31.00 as possible.
Good luck
Tsupiteros!
Notes:
Short-term
Traders/Tsupiteros vs. Medium-term/Position Traders: Recommendation
for short-term traders or Tsupiteros are meant to be used by traders
whose holding period are limited to one day to two weeks. Medium-term or position
traders are meant to be used by traders whose holding period are two weeks
to three months. Long-term investors whose holding period is more than
three months should not follow these recommendations.
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