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Chart of the Week - Jan 18, 2010
PNOC Energy Dev't Corp. (EDC)
EDC Monthly Chart -
Continuing to Trend Up but Approaching its All-time
High of 6.20

charts are courtesy of Metastock
EDC
Weekly Chart - Continuing to Trend Up,
Uptrend Accelerates

charts are courtesy of Metastock
EDC Daily Chart -
Continuing to Trend Up but Hesitating at the 5.20 Level, Volume Spike is
Bullish or Bearish? g

charts are courtesy of Metastock
Legend:
blue lines - range for Tsupiteros
dotted blue lines
- range for Position Traders
red lines - important trend lines
| Short-term Traders/Tsupiteros: |
Medium-term/Position Traders: |
| Support -
4.75 |
Support -
4.45 |
| Resistance -
5.20 |
Resistance - 5.80 to 6.20 |
| Trend - Up |
Trend - Up |
| Recommendation -
Hold |
Recommendation -
Hold |
PNOC Energy
Dev't Corp. (EDC) has been one of the strongest amongst the blue chips
recently and throughout this 10-month bull market. Let's see how its
charts look like now.
Its monthly
chart shows how strong this uptrend has been for the last 14 months in a
row now. Since bottoming-out at 1.46, the stock is now trading at 5.10,
which is already an almost 250% increase in its market value. There are
no signs of any weakness yet from its monthly chart but is now fast
approaching its all-time high of 6.20. Will it break above 6.20 and form
a new high? With the stock already having climbed so much in the last 14
months, I doubt whether prices will easily be able to break above that
level without some correction or consolidation to occur. But, I guess,
as long as the trend is still up, I would not discount the possibility
that prices try to get as close to that level as possible. Take note,
the level to watch out for on the downside on this time-frame is the
4.45 level. Thus, we should continue to expect higher prices from this
stock, that is, as long as the stock continues to trade above that
level.
Its weekly
chart is almost an identical replica of its monthly chart wherein it too
is showing a very strong uptrend. In fact, recently or just last week,
the stock may have even accelerated to the upside. If we follow its
trend above, prices should continue to rocket higher until it gets to
around the 5.80 level. For this time-frame, the level to watch out for
on the downside would be the 4.75 level.
Now we go
one time-frame lower and look at its daily chart. Again, we have a
similar picture here wherein the stock continues to trade within a very
strong uptrend and has even broken above its short-term resistance line
at 5.00. The huge volume last Friday was because of some huge cross
transactions done mostly at the 5.20 level. Could these cross
transactions be bullish or bearish? I don't know but prices seems to
have hesitated at the 5.20 level last Friday.
So, how do
we trade this stock? Well, if you are someone who has been holding on to
this stock for sometime now, I wish you congratulations and I may
suggest to just hold. However, if you are someone who are just planning
to enter the stock just now, I would probably hesitate to do it because,
as you can see, you are no longer buying at the lows. In fact, at
current levels, the stock may already be a lot closer to its highs than
it is to its lows. So for those who are still holding, I would suggest
Position-traders to just hold and use a break below the 4.75 level as
your mental stop. Tsupiteros, on the other hand, are recommended to just
hold as long as prices stay above the 4.95 level.
Once again,
I would like to congratulate everybody who has this one on their
portfolios. Just be sure that you know how to lock-in your gains once
the trend starts to change. But for the meantime, just enjoy the party
while it lasts!
Notes:
Short-term
Traders/Tsupiteros vs. Medium-term/Position Traders: Recommendation
for short-term traders or Tsupiteros are meant to be used by traders
whose holding period are limited to one day to two weeks. Medium-term or position
traders are meant to be used by traders whose holding period are two weeks
to three months. Long-term investors whose holding period is more than
three months should not follow these recommendations.
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